First Base is a Thin Line
Jason Delaney: Next in line? - John Setzler/Flickr.com
Jason Delaney
Originally drafted by the Pirates in the 12th round of the 2005 draft, Delaney has split his time in the organization between first base and the corner outfield positions over the past three-plus seasons.
After a poor showing during his short stint in Williamsport, Delaney spent '06 putting up a very respectable .300/.379/.432 line at Hickory that was low on power but not excessively low for a player who wasn't really known as a heavy-hitter. He complemented that with a respectable 79:56 K:BB ratio that reflected the strong plate discipline he had shown in college.
He followed that up with a strong start to '07, posting a .340/.432/.536 line at Lynchburg in the first half of the season, but then fell off badly to the tune of .265/.370/.404 upon being promoted to Altoona. He did, however, put up the same 52:38 K:BB ration for the Curve as he did in Lynchburg in only 27 fewer AB's, a definite positive to carry forward.
He began last season repeating Altoona and appeared to have learned from his mistakes, posting a .294/.405/.425 line and a nearly 1:1 ratio while spending most of the season there, but again fell off while spending the last month of the season at AAA.
Delaney, who turned 26 in November, has shown ability and isn't ridiculously old, so I would still wager that there is room for him to become a useful, maybe even productive major leaguer - as long as you aren't expecting a power hitter. Judging by their numbers comparison, not unlike a poor man's Adrian Gonzalez.
Calvin Anderson
Anderson was the 12th round pick in this summer's draft, and the most glaring landmark to this young man's career is that he is an absolute behemoth. Standing at 6'7" and 240 lbs., it's hard to argue against Anderson fitting the power hitter mold. In three seasons at Southern A&M University, Anderson posted a .349/.450/.590 line and a 81:42 K:BB ratio in 330 AB's.
Those numbers make Anderson's Pirate debut - a .265/.337/.453 line at short-season State College - seem like a bust, but the power numbers and strikeout totals look a lot like a player who either wore down a bit or started pressing - some proof of which might lie in his nearly identical .293/.887 and .293/.898 numbers in June and August that sandwiched a July swoon.
Anderson may only become the next Brad Eldred if he doesn't reign in his plate discipline, but he's young enough (22 in May) that there's still reason to be hopeful. Besides, he's fricking huge!
Pedro Alvarez
Do I really need to remind you when this guy was drafted? Of course not. We are all well aware of his impressive pedigree and his power potential, but we also know he was drafted as a third baseman. There have been inklings of rumors that Alvarez's body may eventually grow into a first-baseman role, a la Albert Pujols, Lance Berkman or Mark Teixeira. There's also still the possibility that Andy LaRoche reaches the .295 AVG, .900 OPS potential he showed
throughout his minor league career, and that by the time Alvarez reaches Pittsburgh moving him across the diamond might be necessary. That's a ways away, but it's certainly not an alien-abduction level shot in the dark.
Dustin Ackley
As we all know, the Pirates once again have a top-five draft pick this season - No. 4 to be exact. Ackley is a 1B (slash future OF?) that everyone is absolutely raving about, even referred to - like Avarez - as the best pure hitter in the upcoming draft. He is now dueling with Grant Green, the SS out of USC, for the title of best collegiate hitter in the draft. The Pirates may well take a pitcher this year in the first round, but two of the three teams picking ahead of them either have a 1B in the system (Chris Marrero with the Nats) or aren't showing a glaring need for one (Adrian Gonzalez with the Pads), so the Pirates just might find themselves again having the chance to pick between a really great CIF hitter and a really great MIF hitter.
Drafting Ackley could likely hinge on whether the team is convinced of either LaRoche or Alvarez's development predicating a move, which is still very up in the air, but it's a definite option to consider. Also, even if management does think that Alvarez would need to move eventually, having two top-flight first basemen in your system is what some would refer to as a "happy problem."
Discussion
6 Comments on "First Base is a Thin Line"
#1
Posted by nicolas, December 23, 2008 5:37 AM
i feel the need to clarify a bit on Delaney. I don't think his peak is anything fabulous - an OPS+ in the 95-105 range - but I also think that's perfectly acceptable for a "not nearly close to competitive yet" baseball team. We can live with that kind of production for a year or two, then hide it a bit with cutch, pedro, and young laroche(????) until a geuine prospect is ready.
#2
Posted by GrtSm, December 23, 2008 7:13 AM
Ackely is a good player, a good hitter, and I'm pretty sure he's a good fielder, but when I read about Ackely, it said he could play 1st, 2nd, or OF (depending on his recovery from TJ surgery). I really don't think he fits into our future team with Andy LaRoche and Pedro Alvarez probably taking both corners, Shelby Ford (who management loves) at 2nd, and we have two great OF prospects, so is another one truly necessary? I don't see the Pirates drafting Ackely, but Grant Green would be a perfect fit for our future offense, or I wouldn't mind a young pitcher like Matt Purke, or Alex White.
I don't think there's a need for Ackely, but I'd hate to pass up on him for Dan Moskos. lol
#3
Posted by Cory Humes in reply to comment from GrtSm, December 23, 2008 10:02 AM
If Ackley could play second base competently, he most certainly would -- and would turn into Chase Utley. But he's a first baseman/outfielder.
I've looked at Grant Green, too, and I'm sure he'll be mentioned when we get to shortstops. He could certainly wind us as the Pirates' No. 1 pick.
My gut feeling says that whoever is regarded as the best hitter on the board in July will be the Pirates' pick. I don't think we're yet at the place where we need to consider who's playing which position. Take the most talented player, regardless of situation or signing concerns. That's what happened with Pedro Alvarez, and that's what should happen again in 2009.
Draft stock can change a lot in one season. Ackley vs. Green will be fun to track through the spring.
#4
Posted by Cory Humes, December 23, 2008 10:06 AM
Also of note, at least in this city: Calvin Anderson is the son of former Steeler Fred Anderson. So he's not just big -- the pro athlete pedigree is there as well.
#5
Posted by Grtsm, December 23, 2008 9:03 PM
I feel that Matt Purke is the best player in the draft (not including Strasburg). If he's still available at #4, he HAS to be a pirate. If you look at the 2007 draft, with Bumgarner and Porcello, a highschool pitcher with as much hype as Purke has, should become a bonafide ace.
#6
Posted by Brian Cartwright, December 25, 2008 2:08 AM
Looking at my projections
Ackley 311/364/456 358
Alvarez 265/333/472 347
Delaney 265/345/400 331
Anderson 259/315/446 329
Green 278/321/438 328
I like the comparison of Ackley to Utley. Good BABIP (346) below avg on HR% (40 do 15 hr) avg on walks, good on so.
Green's low walk, high so combo scares me, but high BABIP looks like he can be at least ML avg ss offensively, but probably not a star.
Anderson has high BABIP, high HR%, high SO%. Projection at age 21, A ball puts him well below ML avg 1b, but same combo of skills at Ryan Howard.
Delaney had one good year (2007), but below avg BA and HR% make him below ML 1b.












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