10 Reasons to Trade Jack Wilson (or Not)

Five reasons to trade Jack Wilson to the highest bidder:

Durability is a concern going forward.
As Pat pointed out, Jack Wilson has had trouble staying on the field the past two years. After playing in at least 147 contests in each of his first four full seasons with the Pirates, Jack saw his games played totals dip to 142 in 2006, 135 in 2007 and 87 in 2008. He'll turn 31 on December 29. Unlike fine wine, most baseball players don't get much better with age.

His primary skill may noticeably erode.
"All players lose speed as they age; thus, speed-related skills are young players' skills." Bill James argues that players in Wilson's mold will lose effectiveness over time. A glove-less Wilson isn't a player most major-league teams would be interested in as a starter. On the other end of the spectrum, Wilson lacks the skills that do hold up well over time (e.g. power and plate discipline).

There is no reason for a light-hitting shortstop to be a team's highest paid player.
Players like Wilson are complementary pieces on a contender; they don't make up the core of a winning team. It makes sense to budget resources for player development and, eventually, long-term contracts for a team's stars.

Youth should be the focus right now.
In an interview with Alan posted yesterday, Charlie guessed that the Pirates might break their streak of losing seasons in 2013. Even with the best luck, there is no way the Pirates will be competing in the National League Central while Jack Wilson is our shortstop. It makes sense to acquire younger players with some upside in exchange for aging veterans when possible.

His stock will never be higher.
After Thursday's trade of Khalil Greene from the Padres to the Cardinals, and with the Giants signing Edgar Renteria, prices have been set on the shortstop market. There are three teams (the Dodgers, Orioles and Tigers) who have been linked to the Pirates at one point or another this winter still in search of a competent shortstop. With only one season and an option year remaining on his contract, it's hard to believe that Wilson will ever have more value than he does at this very moment.

And five reasons to keep Jack Wilson in Pittsburgh:

Jack Wilson Receives Award.jpg

He is known as a community leader.
Wilson has been repeatedly recognized for his service to Western Pennsylvania--just take a look at his biography at Pirates.com:

  • Is involved with the Westmoreland County Tobacco Free Coalition
  • Was selected as Pittsburgh's nominee for the MLB Roberto Clemente Award in recognition of his work both on the field and in the community during the 2005 and 2006 seasons (pictured above; photo by jmd41280)
  • Was the recipient of the 2006 Chuck Tanner Award, an award created by the local chapter of the BBWAA in 2006 that goes to the player who is the most cooperative with the media
  • Has participated in the team's annual Winter Caravan each of the last seven years and has attended each of the last eight PirateFests

He is the fan favorite for an otherwise faceless team.
His presence in the community and his all-out effort on the field are very likable qualities, and as the longest-tenured Pirate, Jack Wilson is a fan favorite. As this post at OMGPittsburgh implies, trading Wilson may negatively affect the Pirates' gate receipts.

He has a veteran influence on an inexperienced team.
If Doug Mientkiewicz isn't re-signed and Jack Wilson is traded, who would be recognized as the leader of the Pittsburgh Pirates' clubhouse? Adam LaRoche? Freddy Sanchez? A very young, impressionable roster could stand to follow a veteran's example.

Good defense benefits young pitchers.
Though Wilson's glove may lose its effectiveness in time, there's no denying that Wilson on a bad day is still considerably better in the field than most other players on their best days. Steady hands up the middle would give confidence to a developing pitching staff. Rather than trying to blow a fastball past Ryan Howard, Ian Snell might be willing to let the slugger put the ball in play if he can trust the defenders behind him.

There is no clear in-house replacement.
While a team out of the pennant race can and should fill holes with replacement-level players if necessary, it's still worth noting that the Pirates' middle infield depth is lacking. Brian Bixler and Luis Cruz could be painful to watch over the course of a 162-game season. This may be why rumors have Neal Huntington targeting younger shortstops in Wilson trade packages.

Discussion

6 Comments on "10 Reasons to Trade Jack Wilson (or Not)"

#1

user-pic

Posted by Cory Humes, December 5, 2008 12:11 PM

Any reasons (for or against) I may have passed over?

Reply

#2

user-pic

Posted by Deaner, December 5, 2008 5:43 PM

Excellent post! You've pretty much summed it up. I've been a huge fan of Jack ever since he first made it to Pittsburgh wearing #12 on his jersey.

Reply

#3

user-pic

Posted by Robert Graham(Biesbol) in reply to comment from Cory Humes, December 6, 2008 2:55 AM

IMO one of the best shortstops we have is a guy named Freddie Sanchez. I've been saying that for awhile. Freddie is a remarkable and miraculous fielder. Ever since we moved Freddie to second it seems there has been problems with him physically. He was excellent and healthy at thirdbase. He would be just has healthy at Short. He has the range and that is proabably why he is suited for the left side.

I still see Walker at third this year. Andy L. is more valuable in a utility role. I see this gaping hole at second if we utilize Freddie in that role. Frankly we have few good ready to go options. There is however a guy named Jose Castillo who might fit the bill.

Just a thought.

BEAT 'EM BUCS

Reply

#4

user-pic

Posted by Deaner in reply to comment from Robert Graham(Biesbol), December 6, 2008 8:31 AM

I don't know what you all think about it but... I would be a fan of the Bucs picking up David Eckstein as a 2B/SS type of guy. He would also be a great role model for the younger players.

Reply

#5

user-pic

Posted by Cory Humes in reply to comment from Robert Graham(Biesbol), December 6, 2008 11:59 AM

Freddy's issues for the past season or so are primarily related to his health, not the position switch. Unfortunately, as he ages, that's not likely to improve.

Of the three positions, third base is the least demanding. Second is the next in line, while shortstop is the most difficult position. (See: defensive spectrum.) Freddy wouldn't be "miraculous" at short.

Neil Walker isn't ready for MLB, and Andy LaRoche doesn't have the defensive versatility to fill a utility role. Jose Castillo was non-tendered last year and is no longer a Pirate.

Reply

#6

user-pic

Posted by Cory Humes in reply to comment from Deaner, December 6, 2008 12:08 PM

I wouldn't mind Eckstein on a one-year deal, but bringing in older guys like him tempts the manager to play the established veteran over the up-and-coming youngster. (Think how many at-bats Rivas and Gomez "earned" last year.)

If the Pirates trade Jack, they should be using the playing time to find out what they have in Bixler, Cruz et al. (no matter how painful that may be to watch).

I'm blanking on the exact quote, but I believe it was Billy Beane who said something like "if you're not winning 90 games, you might as well be winning 60." That is, shooting for meaningless milestones like 82 wins can be detrimental to the more important long-term goal of making the playoffs.

If you sign a role player, he needs to understand that he's just that. Doug Mientkiewicz is a perfect example of someone who knew what his job was and didn't expect to play every day (or even regularly).

Reply

Leave a comment